The stunning tech rally that boosted Meta and Nvidia by over 100% will fizzle out soon, top RBC strategist says


Tech stocks have soared in 2023 – but the rally could be about to come to an end, according to RBC strategist Lori Calvasina.REUTERS/Eric Thayer

  • Tech stocks’ stunning run could soon come to an end, according to top RBC Capital Markets strategist Lori Calvasina.

  • “The tech trade in particular feels like it’s starting to run out of catalysts,” she told Bloomberg.

  • The sector has soared in 2023, with Meta and Nvidia already seeing their share prices double.

Tech stocks’ stunning run this year could peter out soon, and that will likely hinder the broader stock market from making any further gains before the end of 2023, a top-flight RBC strategist has cautioned.

“The tech trade, in particular, feels like it’s starting to run out of catalysts, and that has really buoyed the market,” the Canadian bank’s head of US equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, told Bloomberg TVon Thursday.

“I still like my  4,100 number at year-end,” she added, referring to her price target for the S&P 500, which would represent a drop of around 2% from the benchmark index’s current level.

Tech stocks have started 2023 with a breakneck rally, benefiting from the surge in demand for ChatGPT and other AI tech as well as traders’ expectation that the Federal Reserve will soon end its interest-rate hiking campaign.

Facebook parent Meta Platforms and microchip maker Nvidia have jumped over 100% year-to-date, with other blue-chip names like Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft also racking up massive gains.

That outperformance has helped to lift stocks more broadly, with just a handful of listed companies accounting for nearly all of the S&P 500’s returns. The index is up 9% in 2023.

Calvasina said she’s expecting a short-term bounce once the debt-ceiling standoff is resolved – but in the longer-term, she can’t see much upside for stocks the rest of the year.

“If you pull the debt ceiling as a risk off the table I think at the very least it is going to quelch some of the pessimism,” she told Bloomberg.

“Some of my models have pointed to upside of around 4,300 — I can get there from a valuation perspective and on one of my sentiment models in general, though I do feel pretty good about my base case of 4,100 on the S&P,” Calvasina added.

Read more: Facebook parent Meta and Nvidia have both seen their stock prices double within the first 5 months of 2023

Read the original article on Business Insider

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