Electric adventure-vehicle maker Rivian (RIVN) is on deck to report second quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday, following a recent run-up in its stock fueled by positive headlines.
For the quarter, Wall Street is expecting Rivian to report revenue of $1 billion, with an adjusted EPS loss of $1.36. That revenue figure would represent a big jump up from Q1’s $661 million, and a 175% jump from $364 million reported a year ago. On an adjusted EBITDA basis, Rivian is expected to report a loss of $1.13 billion; a year ago it reported a $1.305 billion loss.
Last month Rivian reported Q2 deliveries hit 12,640 units, topping estimates and also representing a large improvement over Q1 deliveries of 7,946, which also topped expectations. Rivian also reaffirmed “it is on track to deliver on the 50,000 annual production guidance previously provided.”
Two quarters of strong production and delivery figures were a shots of good news for investors weary of Rivian’s previous production setbacks.
“Production coming out of the gate — it was excuses. It was one step forward, two steps back for four or five quarters. Now [they] finally turned the corner, and I think the worst is in the rearview mirror,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said last month regarding Rivian’s Q2 deliveries.
“From a valuation perspective, $30 could be a base case,” he said.
Rivian shares also got a boost when the company announced it would be joining Tesla’s Supercharging network in 2024 and incorporate Tesla’s NACS (North American Charging Standard) plug into vehicles in 2025.
Rivian stock is up a massive 77% in the past three months, though shares have slipped 10% over the past 5 days following its recent meteoric rise. Despite the recent tear, shares of fallen considerably from its $179 all-time high.
Many EV makers have been cutting prices and availing themselves of the federal EV tax credit of $7,500 when applicable as a way to gin up demand and boost sales. Rivian, however, builds trucks that are priced above the $80,000 price cap for the EV tax credit for trucks. Fellow EV-maker Lucid just yesterday slashed prices of its Air sedan in order to boost demand for its relatively pricey EV, which is also priced above the EV tax credit threshold.
Turning back to financial performance, investors will be watching to see if the company reiterates or updates its guidance calling for an adjusted EBITDA loss of $4.3 billion for the year, which is a narrowing of the $5.2 billion EBITDA loss it had in 2022. Rivian has also said it expects to achieve positive gross profit in 2024.
From a liquidity perspective, Rivian reported it had $11.24 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1, down from the $12 billion it had at the end of Q4.
Pras Subramanian is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on Twitter and on Instagram.
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